The assembly time for a product is uniformly distributed between 6 and 10 minutes. The probability of assembling the product in 7 to 9 minutes is ____


A0.50
B1.00
C0
D0.75

Verified Answer :

  • The assembly time \(X\) follows a uniform distribution on the interval \([6, 10]\).
  • The probability of the time falling within the interval \([7, 9]\) is calculated as the length of the target interval divided by the total interval: \(\frac{9-7}{10-6} = \frac{2}{4}\).
  • Simplifying this gives the probability: \(0.50\).
  • The correct option is \(\boxed{a}\).

Explanation

  1. Understand the distribution and parameters

The assembly time \(X\) is modeled as a continuous random variable following a uniform distribution on the interval \([a, b] = [6, 10]\). In a uniform distribution, the probability of the variable falling within any sub-interval \([c, d]\) contained within \([a, b]\) is given by the ratio of the length of the sub-interval to the length of the total interval. The formula is:
\[P(c \leq X \leq d) = \frac{d - c}{b - a}\]
Here, we have \(a = 6\), \(b = 10\), \(c = 7\), and \(d = 9\).

  1. Calculate the probability

To find the probability that the assembly time \(X\) falls between \(7\) and \(9\) minutes, we apply the formula:
\[P(7 \leq X \leq 9) = \frac{9 - 7}{10 - 6}\]
Performing the subtractions in the numerator and the denominator:
\[P(7 \leq X \leq 9) = \frac{2}{4}\]
Simplifying the fraction:
\[P(7 \leq X \leq 9) = 0.50\]
This represents the proportion of the total possible assembly time interval that is covered by the range \(7\) to \(9\) minutes.

  1. Compare with options and conclude

Comparing our result \(0.50\) with the provided options:

A\(0.50\)
B\(1.00\)
C\(0\)
D\(0.75\)

We can see that the calculated probability matches option a.

Examples

Uniform distributions are frequently used in project management to model tasks where there is a minimum and maximum possible time for completion, but any value within that range is equally likely. For instance, if you are estimating the time to complete a specific task in a software project, like writing a module, you might estimate it will take between 2 and 5 hours. Knowing this, you can calculate the probability of finishing in a specific sub-window, helping with scheduling and resource management. If the time is uniformly distributed over \([2, 5]\), the probability of finishing between 3 and 4 hours is \(\frac{4-3}{5-2} = \frac{1}{3}\).