Verified Answer :
- Claim: \(p \le 0.55\), Null Hypothesis (\(H_0\)): \(p \le 0.55\), Alternative Hypothesis (\(H_a\)): \(p > 0.55\).
- Test Statistic: \(Z = \frac{0.6 - 0.55}{\sqrt{\frac{0.55 \times 0.45}{80}}} \approx 0.899\).
- Critical Value: \(Z_{0.05} \approx 1.645\).
- Decision: Since \(0.899 < 1.645\), Fail to reject \(H_0\). The data supports the claim that the proportion is no more than 55%.
- Final Answer: \(\boxed{\text{Fail to reject } H_0}\)
Explanation
- Setup and Hypotheses
The university administrator claims that the population proportion of students who own a car is no more than 55%. We are testing this claim using a sample of 80 students where 48 own a car.
- Claim and Hypotheses:
The claim is that the proportion \(p\) is no more than 0.55.
- Claim: \(p \le 0.55\).
- Null Hypothesis (\(H_0\)): \(p \le 0.55\).
- Alternative Hypothesis (\(H_a\)): \(p > 0.55\).
This is a right-tailed test because we are testing for a proportion greater than the specified value.
- Sample Data:
- Sample size \(n = 80\).
- Number of students owning a car \(x = 48\).
- Sample proportion \(\hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} = \frac{48}{80} = 0.6\).
- Calculate the Test Statistic
To determine if our sample results significantly differ from the administrator's claim, we calculate the test statistic using the formula for a one-proportion z-test:
\[Z = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\frac{p_0(1 - p_0)}{n}}}\]
where \(p_0 = 0.55\) and \(n = 80\).
- Standard Error: \(\sqrt{\frac{0.55 \times (1 - 0.55)}{80}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.55 \times 0.45}{80}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.2475}{80}} \approx 0.0556\).
- Test Statistic: \(Z = \frac{0.6 - 0.55}{0.0556} \approx 0.8989\).
- Determine Critical Value and Conclusion
For a significance level \(\alpha = 0.05\) in a right-tailed test, we look for the critical z-value that separates the top 5% of the standard normal distribution.
- Using the standard normal distribution, the critical value \(Z_{0.05} \approx 1.645\).
Now, compare our calculated test statistic \(Z = 0.8989\) with the critical value \(Z_{critical} = 1.645\):
- Since \(0.8989 < 1.645\), our test statistic does not fall into the rejection region.
Conclusion: We fail to reject the null hypothesis \(H_0\). There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of students who own a car is greater than 55%. Therefore, the data appears to support the administrator's claim.
Examples
In real life, this method is used by researchers and businesses to validate claims against data. For example, a quality control manager might claim that no more than 5% of manufactured parts are defective. By testing a random sample, they can statistically determine if the production process meets that standard or if there is a problem that needs investigation, using a formula like \(Z = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\frac{p_0(1-p_0)}{n}}}\) to decide if the observed defect rate is significantly high.