Your friend brings 15 chocolate cupcakes and 15 vanilla cupcakes to school. Students will take turns picking a pair of cupcakes at random. What is the probability that the first student will pick 2 chocolate cupcakes?

Verified Answer :

umm i think it is 1/3 because there are 30 in total and the chances are that you'll either pick
2 vanilla
2 chocolate
1 vanilla and 1 chocolate

Answer:

Probability says that divide the required possible outcomes by the total number of  outcome.

As per the statement:

Your friend brings 15 chocolate cupcakes and 15 vanilla cupcakes to school.

We have to find the probability that the first student will pick 2 chocolate cupcakes.

Number of required possible outcomes = \(^{15}C_{2} \times ^{15}C_{0}\)

Total number of outcomes = \(^{30}C_{2}\)

by definition we have;

\(\text{P(2 chocolate cupcakes)} = \frac{^{15}C_{2} \times ^{15}C_{0}}{^{30}C_{2}}\)

We know that:

\(^{15}C_{0} = 1\)

⇒\(\text{P(2 chocolate cupcakes)} = \frac{^{15}C_{2}}{^{30}C_{2}}\)

Using the formula:

\(^{n}C_{r} = \frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}\)

⇒\(\text{P(2 chocolate cupcakes)} = \frac{\frac{15!}{2! \cdot 13!}}{\frac{30!}{2! \cdot 28!}}\)

⇒\(\text{P(2 chocolate cupcakes)} = \frac{\frac{15 \cdot 14 \cdot 13!}{2! \cdot 13!}}{\frac{30 \cdot 29 \cdot 28!}{2! \cdot 28!}}\)

Simplify:

\(\text{P(2 chocolate cupcakes)} = \frac{15 \cdot 14}{30 \cdot 29} = \frac{7}{29}\)

therefore, the probability that the first student will pick 2 chocolate cupcakes is,  \(\frac{7}{29}\)