The probability of drawing two aces from a standard deck is 0.0059. We know this probability, but we don't know if the first card was replaced. If the two draws are defined as event A and event B, are the events dependent or independent?.
If the two draws are defined as event A and event B,
then they are independent because, based on the
probability, the first ace was replaced before drawing the second ace.
Two events, A and B, are independent if
the fact that A occurs does not affect the probability of
B occurring.
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A standard deck of playing cards consists of 52 playing cards.
1. Count the probability of drawing two aces from a standard deck without replacment.
Among 52 playing cards are 4 aces, then the probability to select first ace is 4/52=1/13. After picking out first ace, only 3 aces left and in total 51 playing cards left, then the probability to select second ace is 3/51=1/17. Use the product rule to find the probability to select two aces without replacement:
\(\dfrac{1}{13}\cdot \dfrac{1}{17} =\dfrac{1}{221}\approx 0.0045.\)
2. Count the probability of drawing two aces from a standard deck with replacment.
Among 52 playing cards are 4 aces, then the probability to select first ace is 4/52=1/13. After picking out first ace, this card was returned back into the deck and the probability to select second ace is 4/52=1/13 too. Use the product rule to find the probability to select two aces with replacement:
\(\dfrac{1}{13}\cdot \dfrac{1}{13} =\dfrac{1}{169}\approx 0.0059.\)
3. If events A and B are independent, then \(Pr(A\cap B)=Pr(A)\cdot Pr(B).\)
All these three steps show you that the first card was replaced and events are independent.