Q4. Suppose that we have the following model:


  1. H1, the patient got a cold;
  2. H2, the patient has Meningitis.



with their prior probabilities, P(Hi)s, and two conditionally independent pieces of evidence


  1. E1, the patient has a high temperat ure,
  2. E2, the patient got a severe headache.



Using Bayesian reasoning, show the initial and the final ranking of each cause if a person is observed to have a high temperature then a severe headache.



P(H1)=0.6

P(H2)=0.4

P(E1–H1)=0.9

P(E1–H2)=0.8

P(E2–H1)=0.5

P(E2–H2)=0.9